Forward, Forward Option and No Hedging Which One is the Best for Managing Currency Risk?
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.26905/jkdp.v21i3.1428Keywords:
Derivative, Forward, Forward Option, HedgingAbstract
Bank Indonesia Regulation No.18/18/PBI/2016 concerning foreign exchange transactions against rupiah between banks and domestic parties, indicates that the importance of hedging for business actors in Indonesia. Based on the data of the rupiah exchange rate movements against the dollar from January 2006 to December 2016 shows that the fluctuation of the rupiah against the US dollar tends to weaken, although at some point the observation shows the strengthening of the rupiah against the US dollar. The purpose of this research is to assess the impact of forward, Forward Option and No Hedging Strategy for managing currency exposure between IDR to USD. Using data from January 2006–December 2016 taken from the website of Bank Indonesia and Federal Reserve. Total 396 simulations, consists of 132 using Forward simulations, 132 using Forward Option simulations and 132using No Hedging simulations. Findings from this research show that Forward Option was has no positive contribution in managing currency exposure, No Hedging Strategy has 36,36 percent positive contribution and the forward contract has 72,73 percent positive contribution in managing currency exposure. Its means Forward Contract was better than forward Option and No Hedging Strategies in managing currency exposure.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.26905/jkdp.v21i3.1428
References
Bakshi, G.S., & Madan, D. 2006, A Theory of Volatility Spreads. Management Science, 52(12): 1945-1956.
Bank Indonesia. 2016. Peraturan Bank Indonesia No.18/18/PBI/2016. Tentang Transaksi Valuta Asing terhadap Rupiah antara Bank dengan Pihak Domestik.
Black, F. & Scholes, M. 1973. The Pricing of Option and Corporate Liabilities. Journal of Political Economy, 81(3): 637–654.
Djenic, M., Popovcic-Avric, S., & Barjaktarovic, L. 2012. Importance of Forward Contracts in the Financial Crisis. Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, 2: 75-96
Döhring, B. 2008. Hedging and Invoicing Strategies to Reduce Exchange Rate Exposure: A Euro-Area Perspective. Economic Paper 229. Published by European Commission.
Eun, C.S. & Resnick, B.G. 2007. International Financial Management. Boston: Published by McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
Glasserman, P. & Wu, Q. 2011. Forward and Future Implied Volatility. International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 14: 407-432.
Hull, J.C. 2009. Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives. 7th Edition. New Jersey: Published by Prentice Hall.
Kourtis, A., Markellos, R.N., & Symeonidis, L. 2016. An International Comparison of Implied, Realized, and GARCH Volatility Forecasts. The Journal of Futures Market, 36(12): 1164–1193.
Li, H & Zhao, F. 2006. Unspanned Stochastic Volatility: Evidence from Hedging Interest Rate Derivatives. Journal of Finance, 61: 341-378.
Madura, J. 2008. International Financial Management. 9th Edition. South-Western Ohio: Published by Thomson.
Mittal, S. 2015. Hedging-An Effective Tool for Risk Management. International Multidisciplinary Research Journal, 2(1): 1–8.
Muff, T., Diacon, S., & Woods, M. 2008. The Management of Currency Risk: Evidence from UK Company Disclosures. Centre for Risk & Insurance Studies. Published by Nottingham University
Papaioannou, M. 2006. Exchange Rate Risk Measurement and Management: Issues and Approaches for Firms. Working Paper. Published by IMF.
Topaloglou, N., Vladimirou, H., & Zenios, S.A. 2007. Controlling Currency Risk with Options or Forwards. Financial Engineering Handbook. Published by Springer.
Vargas, C.A & Kessakorn, K. 2013. Forwards versus Options: Effectiveness in Hedging Currency Risk in International Portfolios. Project Degree. Published by Lund University.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.