Weak Form Efficiency of the Insurance Industry: Empirical Evidence from Nigeria

Authors

  • Emenike Kalu Onwukwe Department of Accounting and Finance, Kampala International University, P.M.B. 20000, Kampala
  • Peter Ifeanyichukwu Ali Department of Financial Management Technology Federal University of Technology P.M.B. 1526, Owerri.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.26905/jkdp.v22i1.1800

Keywords:

Efficient Market Hypothesis, Stock Returns, Weak-form Efficiency, Nigeria stock exchange

Abstract

This paper evaluates the insurance sector of the Nigeria Stock Exchange (NSE) for evidence weak-form efficiency using daily returns from January 2009 to February 2016. The study employs descriptive analysis, non-parametric runs test and autocorrelation function as well as Ljung-Box Q statistics in conducting the evaluation. Descriptive statistics of the insurance sector return series show negative skewness and leptokurtic distribution. Estimates from the Jarque-Bera normality test show that the insurance sector returns do not follow a normal distribution. Results of the runs test reject a null hypothesis of randomness in the return series of the insurance sector in the period studied. Furthermore, the autocorrelation functions and the Ljung-Box Q tests provide evidence of serial correlation in the stock returns of the insurance sector. Overall results from the study suggest that the insurance sector of NSE is not weak-form efficient. Consequently, technical analysis on the insurance sector of the NSE may not be fruitless.

 

JEL Classification: G14, G22

DOI: https://doi.org/10.26905/jkdp.v22i1.1800


Author Biographies

Emenike Kalu Onwukwe, Department of Accounting and Finance, Kampala International University, P.M.B. 20000, Kampala

-

Peter Ifeanyichukwu Ali, Department of Financial Management Technology Federal University of Technology P.M.B. 1526, Owerri.

-

References

Alkhatib, A., & Harasheh, M. (2014). Market efficiency: The case of Palestine Exchange (PEX). World Journal of Social Sciences, 4(1), 196–206.

Appiah-Kusi, J., & Menya, K. (2003). Return predictability in African Stock Markets. Review of Financial Economics, 12(3), 247-270.

Arora, H. (2013). Testing weak-form of the efficiency of Indian Stock Market. Pacific Business Review International, 5(12), 16-22.

ChiÅŸ, D. M. (2012).Testing the martingale difference hypothesis in the European emerging unit-linked insurance markets. Procedia Economics and Finance, 3, 49-54.

Emenike, K. O. (2009). Efficiency across time: Evidence from the Nigerian Stock Exchange. International Journal of Management Sciences, 1(2), 60-78.

Emenike, K. O. (2017). Weak-form efficiency after the global financial crises: Emerging stock market evidence. Journal of Emerging Market Finance, 16(1), 99-113.

Fama, E. F. (1965). The behaviour of stock market prices. Journal of Business, 38(1), 34-105.

Gaganis, C., Hasan, I., & Pasiouras, F. (2013). Efficiency and stock return: Evidence from the insurance industry. Journal of Productivity Analysis, 40(3), 429-442.

Gujarati, D. N. (2003). Basic econometrics (4th ed), New York: McGraw Hill Inc.

Islam, S. M. N., Watanapalachaikul, S., & Clark, C., (2007). Some tests of the efficiency of the emerging financial markets an analysis of the Thai Stock Market. Journal of Emerging Market Finance, 6(3), 291–302.

Ljung, G. M., & Box, G. E. P. (1978). On a measure of lack of fit in time series models. Biometrical, 65(2), 279-303.

Malkiel, B. G., & Fama, E. (1970). Efficient capital market: A review of theory and empirical work. Journal of Finance, 25(2), 385-417.

Rahman, S., & Hossain M.F. (2006). Weak-form efficiency: Testimony of Dhaka Stock Exchange. Journal of Business Research, 8, 1-12.

Samuels, J. M., & Yacout, M. (1981). Stock exchange in developing countries. Savings and Development, 5(4), 217-232.

Saramat, O., & Dima, B. (2011). Testing the weak-form informational efficiency of United Kingdom, United States of America and Japan’s Capital Market. Timisoara Journal of Economics, 4(2), 111-122.

Spiegel, M. R., & Stephens, L. J. (2008). Schaum’s outline of theory and problems of statistics. 4th Edition. USA: McGraw Hill Inc.

Stojaković, A. (2017). Insurance industry in selected transition countries. The European Journal of Applied Economics, 14(1): 32-47.

Tsay, R. S. (2005). Analysis of financial time series. 2nd Edition. Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons Inc.

Wang, Y. & Corbett, R. B. (2008). Market efficiency: Evidence from market reactions of insurance industry stocks to the September 11, 2001 event. Journal of Insurance Issues, 31(2), 153-167.

Downloads

Published

2018-02-28

Issue

Section

FINANCE AND BANKING