Prediksi Curah Hujan Wilayah Provinsi Yogyakarta dengan Algoritma Neural Network

rubangi rubangi, Arief Hermawan, Donny Avianto

Abstract


Emerging inaccurate information about the rainfall system can affect aspects of life. Inaccurate precipitation forecasting can be problematic, so it is necessary to predict precipitation with a high level of accuracy. Therefore, this study proposes a method with a neural network algorithm to predict rainfall to benefit the community. The data used in this study is daily precipitation from 2016 to 2021 from BMKG. Based on the test results, the data shows that the best neural network (NN) model is obtained from input layer 31, hidden layer 4, training cycle 1500, learning rate 0.01, and momentum 0.9, resulting in an error of 0.828. Based on the results with the smallest error, using the neural network method can be used to predict future precipitation with good accuracy.


Keywords


Prediksi; Curah hujan; Neural network

Full Text:

PDF

References


Damar A P, Ahmad Z, Sumiharni. Studi Pemodelan Curah hujan sintetik dari beberapa stasiun di wilayah Pringsewu. JRSDD. 2015;3 (1): 45-56.

Sutopo P N. Evaluasi dan analisis curah hujan sebagai faktor Penyebab bencana banjir jakarta. Jurnal Sains & Teknologi Modifikasi Cuaca. 2002; 3 (2):91-97.

Dedi, M. Analisis Karakteristik Curah Hujan di Wilayah Kabupaten Garut Selatan. Jurnal Konstruksi. vol. 2014;13 (1):2302-7312.

Sitti H, Usman. Analisa Prediktif Curah Hujan Data Time Series Berbasis Metode Neural Network. Teknologi Informasi dan Komunikasi. 2020; 10 (2): 163-176.

M Muflih, Nur A, Wagino. Prakiraan Curah Hujan Bandara Syamsudin Noor dengan Algoritma Neural Network Backpropagation. Technologia. 2017; 8 (1).

Yuli A, Hotmalina S, Anjar W. Analisis Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan untuk prediksi volume ekspor dan impor migas di Indonesia. Ilmiah Teknologi Sistem Informasi. 2018; 4: 30-40.

Asep K H, Empung. Analisis curah hujan efektif dan curah hujan dengan berbagai periode ulang untuk Wilayah Kota Tasikmalaya dan Kabupaten Garut. Siliwangi 2016; 2 (2): 2477-3891.

Yudhi A, Erlinda N. Prediksi Curah Hujan Di Kota Medan Menggunakan Metode Backpropagation Neural Network. Seminar Nasional Informatika. 2014.

Rama D S. Performa Algoritma User K-Nearest Neighbors pada Sistem Rekomendasi di Tokopedia. Jurnal Informatika Universitas Pamulang. 2020; 5 (3): 302–306.




DOI: https://doi.org/10.26905/jasiek.v3i1.6204

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.



JASIEK(Jurnal Aplikasi Sains, Informasi, Elektronika dan Komputer)
Department of Electrical Engineering, Universitas Merdeka Malang



Image result for address iconTaman Agung Street No. 1, Sukun, Malang Kota, Jawa Timur, 65146, Indonesia
Image result for address blue iconjasiek@unmer.ac.id
Image result for address blue icon085232034068
@jasiekunmer

Supported By: