The Effect of Firm Profitability on Expected Stock Return in ASEAN Stock Market

Nathania Clara, Sung Suk Kim

Abstract


This research discusses and analyzes the company's profitability related to the company's stock return performance Profitability of the firm is related to the firm's performance of stock return. This study uses time-series data with a total sample of 1,010 firms from five countries in ASEAN (Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Philippines, and Vietnam) from January 2010 to December 2019. Fama-French 3 factor model based on two different profitability showed that profitability positively affects the stock return in ASEAN markets. Fama-MacBeth's (1973) regression confirms that firm profitability scaled by operating profit-to-equity or operating profit-to-assets positively influences expected stock returns in the ASEAN market.


DOI: 10.26905/jkdp.v25i3.5598



Keywords


Profitability; expected stock return; ASEAN stock market

Full Text:

PDF

References


Akbas, F., Jiang, C., & Koch, P. D. (2017). The trend in firm profitability and the cross-section of stock returns. Accounting Review, 92(5), 1–32. https://doi.org/10.2308/accr-51708

Ball, R., Gerakos, J., Linnainmaa, J. T., & Nikolaev, V. (2016). Accruals, cash flows, and operating profitability in the cross section of stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 121(1), 28–45. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2016.03.002

Ball, R., Gerakos, J., Linnainmaa, J. T., & Nikolaev, V. V. (2015). Deflating profitability. Journal of Financial Economics, 117(2), 225–248. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2015.02.004

Banz, R. W. (1981). The relationship between return and market value of common stocks. Journal of Financial Economics, 9, 3–18. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/0304- 405X(81)90018-0

Barillas, F., & Shanken, J. (2017). Which alpha? Review of Financial Studies, 30(4), 1316–1338. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhw101

Berggrun, L., Cardona, E., & Lizarzaburu, E. (2020a). Firm profitability and expected stock returns: Evidence from Latin America. Research in International Business and Finance, 51(May 2019). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2019.101119

Berggrun, L., Cardona, E., & Lizarzaburu, E. (2020b). Firm profitability and expected stock returns: Evidence from Latin America. In Research in International Business and Finance (Vol. 51). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2019.101119

Bouchaud, J. P., Krüger, P., Landier, A., & Thesmar, D. (2019). Sticky Expectations and the Profitability Anomaly. Journal of Finance, 74(2), 639–674. https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12734

Cakici, N., Chatterjee, S., Tang, Y., & Tong, L. (2021). Alternative profitability measures and cross-section of expected stock returns: international evidence. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 56(1), 369–391. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-020-00897-7

Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1992). The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Return. The Journal of Finance, 47(2), 427–465.

Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1993). Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 33, 3–56. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(93)90023- 5

Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2015). A five-factor asset pricing model. Journal of Financial Economics, 116(1), 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2014.10.010

Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2016). Dissecting Anomalies with a Five-Factor Model. Review of Financial Studies, 29(1), 69–103. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhv043

Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2018). Choosing factors. Journal of Financial Economics, 128(2), 234–252. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2018.02.012

Fama, E. F., & MacBeth, J. D. (1973). Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests. The Journal of Political Economy, 81(3), 607–636. https://doi.org/10.1086/260445

He, S., & Narayanamoorthy, G. (Gans). (2020). Earnings acceleration and stock returns. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 69(1), 101238. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2019.101238

Hou, K., Xue, C., & Zhang, L. (2015). Digesting anomalies: An investment approach. Review of Financial Studies, 28(3), 650–705. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhu068

Hou, K., Xue, C., & Zhang, L. (2020). Replicating Anomalies. Review of Financial Studies, 33(5), 2019–2133. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhy131

Liu, D., & Yadohisa, H. (2018). Capturing Profitability in Asset Pricing Models for Japanese Equities 1994-2016. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 10(5), 254. https://doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v10n5p254

Margaretha, F., & Supartika, N. (2016). Factors Affecting Profitability of Small Medium Enterprises (SMEs) Firm Listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange. Journal of Economics, Business and Management, 4(2), 132–137. https://doi.org/10.7763/joebm.2016.v4.379

Modigliani, F., & Miller, M. H. (1961). Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares. The Journal Of Business, 34(4), 411–433.

Stambaugh, R. F., & Yuan, Y. (2017). Mispricing factors. In Review of Financial Studies (Vol. 30, Issue 4). https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhw107

Titman, S., Wei, K. C. J., & Xie, F. (2013). Market development and the asset growth effect: International evidence. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 48(5), 1405–1432. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022109013000495

Watanabe, A., Xu, Y., Yao, T., & Yu, T. (2013). The asset growth effect: Insights from international equity markets. Journal of Financial Economics, 108(2), 529–563. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2012.12.002

Yin, L., Wei, Y., & Han, L. (2020). Firms' profit instability and the cross-section of stock returns: Evidence from China. Research in International Business and Finance, 53(February), 101203. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101203




DOI: https://doi.org/10.26905/jkdp.v25i3.5598

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.




Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan (Journal of Finance and Banking)

Diploma Program of Banking and Finance, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Merdeka Malang

Published by University of Merdeka Malang

Mailing Address:
2nd floor Finance and Banking Building, Jl. Terusan Raya Dieng No. 57 Malang, East Java, Indonesia
Phone: -
Email: [email protected]

This work is licensed under a Creative
Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0